XAUUSD (Gold) Intraday Analysis – August 12, 2025

So, what did I say in my previous analysis? Exactly what unfolded, my friends. On Monday, August 11, 2025, Gold (XAUUSD) closed the daily session with a wide spread down move.

The market reached a high of 3403, dropped to a low of 3339, and finally closed at 3342. This was a Low Effort vs High Result move – exactly what was expected. For those who understand VSA and Price Action, you know what I mean.

Gold also tested our previously mentioned 3340–3330 potential demand zone. After testing, it closed at 3342. Honestly, I did not see any strong demand in this zone so far. Maybe demand could appear closer to 3330, but for now, nothing significant has emerged that could reverse the price upward — so I’m expecting bearish continuation.

However, I do see a potential hurdle at 3326–3314, which could act as a possible demand zone. If on August 12, 2025, Gold makes a U-turn and goes back up to test supply, then given that Monday’s drop was a Low Effort vs High Result move, 3368–3381 could be a great short-entry area with targets at:

1. 3358
2. 3342
3. 3330
4. 3316–3314
5. 3301 and lower if bearish momentum continues.

Additionally, there’s visible resistance at 3358, which could also offer a short-entry opportunity.

Now, if Gold breaks above 3381, that would be considered a Sign of Strength (SOS) and we should then look for long entries — but only with proper VSA confirmation.

The market structure has already changed character (CHOCH) after the wide spread down move and strong close near the low. On August 12, 2025, a Lower High could form in the 3368–3381 zone, which according to VSA could act as a Test of Supply bar. However, a close above 3381 would confirm a Sign of Strength.

Bias: Bearish until a bullish breakout above 3381.

Edited: Weekly resistance is at 3385-3410.

TL;DR:

• Monday closed with a wide spread down move (Low Effort vs High Result).
• 3340–3330 demand zone tested — no strong demand spotted yet.
• Possible Supply Zone at 3368–3381 (ideal short-entry zone).
• Bearish targets: 3358 > 3342 > 3330 > 3316–3314 > 3301 and more if bearish momentum continues.
• Break above 3381 = Sign of Strength and potential longs.
• Structure changed character, bias remains bearish until 3381 breaks.

Disclaimer:

This is not financial advice. If you profit from this analysis – congratulations, you’re officially smarter than your last bad trade. If you lose – remember, even Titanic had a better stop-loss than you. Manage your risk, and never trust a candle just because it looks “cute.”